Seven breakout bets loom large for this fantasy season: Deni Avdija, Austin Reaves, Mark Williams, Peyton Pritchard, Donovan Clingan, Tumani Kamara, and Assar Thompson. Each arrives with real late-round upside and a plausible path to 9-cat or 8-cat value, based on minutes, usage shifts, and improving efficiency. The host highlights ADP movement, notes turnover dynamics, and stresses punt-turnover builds as a viable strategy for chasing these breakout candidates. The Blazers’ shifting rotation and the Celtics’ revamped container of bigs provide context for how these players may carve steady roles and hit ceilings in the mid-to-late rounds.

Key themes: late-round targets with clear minutes paths, a focus on efficiency and defensive stats, and the importance of roster construction that buffers risk (rest days, back-to-backs). The show blends player-floor analysis with practical draft tactics, urging fantasy managers to target these names in the mid rounds and monitor ADP shifts as drafts approach.

Portland’s off-season shuffle has created a mega-ambitious guard rotation with Scoot Henderson at the center of the fantasy conversation. The backcourt is crowded—Drew Holiday is expected to start, Anfernee Simons remains a top-scoring option, and seven players could plausibly claim starting spots for five slots. The decisions at forward and center tighten the field: Toumani Camara and Deni Avdija are primed to start on the wings, while Donovan Clingan is the anchor at center behind Donovon Klingan’s presumed role.

Shaden Sharp’s trajectory remains a wild card—elite athleticism with defensive lapses, yet big finishing upside in the second half of last season gives him a real breakout ceiling if he earns a larger role. Jeremy Grant’s $100M contract amplifies the question marks around his role and minutes, especially if Portland leans smaller with Camara and Avdija contributing big-ball handling. Scoot’s path to a primary creator job hinges on improved decision-making and finishing, while Henderson’s shooting and rim prowess should help him sustain big usage. The ownership story adds a layer of long-term uncertainty, but the roster moves still imply a real push toward relevance in fantasy leagues this season.